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You’re right that it’s large in an absolute sense, but any sector of the US economy is going to be large in an absolute sense. It’s not a very meaningful statement. Using percentages allows comparison to other items, which for some purposes gives a more useful sense of size. For instance, based on your numbers, AI expenditure is about 1/3 the total military expenditure. I tend to agree that this is less than I expected, and generally makes me feel a bit better about the (imo excessive) hype.


It's small as a part of the economy. It's huge as a completely new thing. The US economy in total has been growing something like an average of 2.5% over recent years. Something that is all-the-growth-of-the-last-year-in-one-place is pretty significant.


AI didn’t happen in one year. Netflix’s famous recommender system challenge kicked off in _2006_! And “Big Data” was all the rage ten years ago. The category “AI” includes these things.


We both know the NN boom of the 2010s pales in comparison to the post GPT3.5 era of LLMs.


Not in terms of the progress that was made. Almost everything relevant was invented back then.


agreed! only in terms of the perception of progress to the user




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